In an April poll I conducted for the Cyber Security Industry Alliance, 75 percent of American adults said that making our information systems safer is a national security issue. Max Boot recently explained in the LA Times why he believes the American public is right in an opinion piece entitled “Are we the Mongols of […]

Nobody saw the electoral tidal wave of 1994 coming. Yet because it came, the press is coming down hard on pollsters and pundits to predict whether it’s going to happen in 2006. And the pundits are taking the bait with near-guarantees or stronger, despite the shifting sands and the unknowable yet critical factors. The polls […]

So it has come to this: Nineteen days before the midterm elections, President Bush flew here to champion the reelection of a congressman who last year settled a $5.5 million lawsuit alleging that he beat his mistress during a five-year affair.
“I’m pleased to be here with Don Sherwood,” a smiling president told the congressman’s loyal […]

I think it’s fair to say I have done more policy-oriented public opinion research on cybersecurity than anyone. I have done polls in the United States and focus groups in the U.S. and throughout Europe. One of the things I have learned is that cybersecurity is not a top of mind concern for consumers. They […]

I wasn’t even 10 years old when Tom Bradley was elected Mayor of Los Angeles in 1973. And my interest in politics at the time was purely national - I was obsessed with Watergate and I even used the reel-to-reel tape recorder I got for Christmas to record Richard Nixon’s resignation speech. By the time […]

Public polls in Michigan suggest that Republican Mike Bouchard isn’t doing very well in his attempt to take out U.S. Senator Debbie Stabenow. And yet the NRSC has decided to play the immigration card with this clumsy, racist website. As I’ve written before, a candidate can talk tough on immigration without kissing off the Latino […]

American University’s Center for the Study of the American Electorate reports that only 15.4 percent of the eligible electorate voted in statewide primary elections this year, a record low for mid-term primaries. The director of the Center, Curtis Gans, warns us to be careful about making November predictions based on the pathetic showing so far:
Low […]

The California Majority Report graciously asked me to be one of the contributors to their frequently updated blog on California politics. On my most recent post for them, I wrote (again) about NDN:
Out in DC, NDN has done a lot of good by emphasizing the importance of the Latino vote in American politics. It has […]

Some predictors, in the aggregate, are set in stone. Party identification will always be a tremendous predictor of vote in federal elections, for example. (Which speaks to the challenge for Democrats winning back some of the gerrymandered Republican congressional districts currently in play.) Which generation a person’s family immigrated to the U.S. will always be […]