Nobody saw the electoral tidal wave of 1994 coming. Yet because it came, the press is coming down hard on pollsters and pundits to predict whether it’s going to happen in 2006. And the pundits are taking the bait with near-guarantees or stronger, despite the shifting sands and the unknowable yet critical factors. The polls […]

So it has come to this: Nineteen days before the midterm elections, President Bush flew here to champion the reelection of a congressman who last year settled a $5.5 million lawsuit alleging that he beat his mistress during a five-year affair.
“I’m pleased to be here with Don Sherwood,” a smiling president told the congressman’s loyal […]

Public polls in Michigan suggest that Republican Mike Bouchard isn’t doing very well in his attempt to take out U.S. Senator Debbie Stabenow. And yet the NRSC has decided to play the immigration card with this clumsy, racist website. As I’ve written before, a candidate can talk tough on immigration without kissing off the Latino […]

American University’s Center for the Study of the American Electorate reports that only 15.4 percent of the eligible electorate voted in statewide primary elections this year, a record low for mid-term primaries. The director of the Center, Curtis Gans, warns us to be careful about making November predictions based on the pathetic showing so far:
Low […]

Both the Los Angeles Times and the New York Times are bracing readers for the onslaught of negative ads:
While President Bush and national GOP leaders are attacking Democrats on such big issues as national security and America’s role in the world, individual Republicans are hitting their opponents hard — below the belt, some critics say […]